
The Iran war is "testing the resilience of the global economy," and is set to dampen economic growth this year, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in a report released on Thursday.
Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.9% this year before edging back up to 3.0% in 2027, according to the OECD.
The unpredictable trajectory of the Middle East conflict was driving up costs and dampening demand, offsetting the positive impetus from investment in new technologies and the momentum carried over from the previous year, it said.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and damage to energy infrastructure had caused a sharp rise in energy prices and disrupted supplies of other key materials such as fertilizer, according to the OECD.
The scale and duration of the conflict were highly uncertain, but a prolonged period of higher energy prices would significantly increase costs for businesses and consumer prices, with negative consequences for growth, the OECD said.
The "evolving conflict [...] generates significant uncertainty around global demand," it said.
In the US, growth is expected to slow from 2.0% this year to 1.7% next year, the OECD forecast, as strong investment in artificial intelligence is gradually offset by a slowdown in income growth and consumer spending.
In the eurozone, the OECD expects growth to slow to 0.8% this year before recovering to 1.2% in 2027, boosted by higher defence spending.
In China, growth is projected to fall to 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
The conflict was also weighing on the growth of the German economy, which the OECD said would grow by only 0.8% this year - 0.2 percentage points less than forecast in its previous economic outlook in December.
Growth of 1.5% is still expected for 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.
latest_posts
- 1
The next frontier in space is closer than you think – welcome to the world of very low Earth orbit satellites - 2
The Force of Systems administration: Individual Examples of overcoming adversity - 3
RFK Jr. wants to scrutinize the vaccine schedule – but its safety record is already decades long - 4
The Ursid meteor shower will be the last of the year, peaking just before Christmas: What to know and how to watch - 5
CDC vaccine panel delays vote to stop recommending hepatitis B shot at birth
Top Pastry: What's Your Sweet Treat of Decision?
Iran-backed Iraqi militias attack Kurdistan over 450 times since beginning of war
Catch the moon dancing with bright star Regulus tonight
Instructions to Expand Your Smash 1500's Presentation: Tips and Deceives
Bother Control Administrations for 2024: Decide for Your Home
Palestinians reel under winter rains as Israel blocks Gaza shelter supplies
The Most Well known Online Entertainment Forces to be reckoned with of 2023
Zelensky names spy chief to head presidential office after corruption row
Help Your Insusceptibility: Good dieting and Way of life Tips












